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Acerca de Nicolas Cachanosky

Associate Professor of Economics Director - Center for Free Enterprise The University of Texas at El Paso

SMP: The Problem with Stable Coins

To illustrate the problem, Eichengreen offers three scenarios. In the first scenario, a cryptocurrency issuer maintains 100 percent dollar backing for coins in circulation. This is similar to how a currency board works. Since such an arrangement requires the issuer attract and hold dollars in order to expand the supply of coins, the cryptocurrency will not be subject to a speculative attack. However, this also means the issuer cannot invest those dollars since it must hold all of them to back the cryptocurrency.

Price volatility is a big problem in the crypto world. Widespread adoption is unlikely without a good monetary rule that reduces volatility. But, as Barry Eichengreen notes in a recent Project Syndicate article, stable coins like Tether, Sagacoin, and Basis have their own issues.

Unable to earn interest on the float, a cryptocurrency issuer would find it challenging to profit while holding 100 percent dollar reserves. It would also struggle to offer a competitive return and, hence, attract customers. Why would one exchange a widely used dollar for an illiquid cryptocurrency, which is harder to use and does not offer a competitive interest rate?

Continue reading at AIER.

A Conversation with Alex Sater

Last August Alex W. Salter from the Free Market Institute at Texas Tech University came to the conference «The Austrian School in the 21st Century» organized by Fundación Bases.

At the close of the conference, Alex and I talked about a number of different issues ranging from advice to young scholars to his productive research agenda.

Fundación Bases has now made available all the videos of the conference. Here’s the video Alex and I spontaneous talk.

Entrevista en Aljazeera

El sitio de noticias Aljazeera publica me entrevista para una nota sobre la crisis Argentina.

On June 7, a month after requesting a lifeline to prop up its plunging currency, Argentina declared that it had reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a three-year, $50bn standby lending arrangement.

The financial deal was aimed at providing breathing space for the government and reassuring nervous investors in the face of deepening concerns over a gaping fiscal deficit, skyrocketing inflation and pressing debt obligations.

Yet, things don’t seem to have gone as hoped.

Seguir leyendo en Aljazeera.

Dos comentarios sobre la dolarización en Argentina

A diferencia de varias expresiones que se han dado desde el exterior a favor de considerar una dolarización en Argentina, la idea a ha recibido notable oposición entre los economistas que se encuentra dentro del país.

La oposición resta en lo que se llama el «conventional knowledge». Principalmente en que al dolarizarse la economía se pierde la posibilidad de realizar política monetaria que permita contrarestar shocks monetarios externos (por ejemplo, es relevante en una area monetaria comun si los países miembros enfrentan shocks simétricos o asimétricos).

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AIER:Elastic Cryptocurrency Supplies: A Step in the Right Direction

A major shortcoming of bitcoin and most other cryptocurrencies is the way in which their supplies are governed. With a perfectly inelastic supply over the relevant time horizon, a change in demand is entirely reflected by a change in the cryptocurrency’s price. Since demand shocks are relatively common, this means that cryptocurrencies are subject to high price volatility.

Volatility can be a desirable feature for a financial investment that tries to capture capital gains. But it is a major impediment to cryptocurrencies becoming more widely accepted as a medium of exchange. Hence, the observation that bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have become financial assets does not mean they are necessarily on the path to becoming new monies.

Continue reading at AIER.

SMP: Gunther Schnabl on Exit Strategies from Unconventional Monetary Policy

In a recent paper, Gunther Schnabl discusses the environment that ultra-low interest rates have produced and the challenges of exiting such an environment. Schnabl brings up a number of interesting issues, including how low interest rate policies keep zombie banks alive and distort labor markets. The policies come at the expense of investment in capital goods and research and development, which fuels growth in rich countries.

Seguir leyendo en AIER.

Cambios Institucionales: La demanda, la oferta, y la buena (o mala) suerte

En mi paso por Buenos Aires, tuve la suerte de poder presentar mis dos libros (aqui y aqui), Reflexiones Sobre la Economia Argentina y Monetary Equilibrium and Nominal Income Targeting. Ambos libros son de naturaleza distinta. El primero es sobre la reciente economía argentina. El segundo es sobre teoría y política monetaria.

No obstante estas diferencias, las preguntas en ambas presentaciones fueron muy similares, y lo fueron en torno a la actual situación argentina. Fue interesante ver que las preguntas bien se podrían haber hecho en los inicios del gobierno de Cambiemos. Parece ser que ya entrando al final del gobierno de Cambiemos no se observa mucho avance en las preocupaciones económicas del votante. Entre estas preguntas no estuvo ausente la discusión de cómo realizar un cambio de fondo en Argentina.

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