Central Banking and Crisis Management from the Perspective of Austrian Business Cycle Theory

Gunther Schnabl

University of Leipzig – Institute for Economic Policy

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 6179

Abstract:

The paper analyses the evolvement and effects of central bank crisis management since the mid 1980s based on a Hayek-Mises-Wicksell over-investment framework. It is shown that, given that the traditional transmission mechanism between monetary policy and consumer price inflation has collapsed, asymmetric monetary policy crisis management implies a convergence of interest rates towards zero and a gradual expansion of central bank balance sheets. From a Hayek-Mises-Wicksell perspective asymmetric central bank crisis management has contributed to financial market bubbles, decreasing marginal efficiency of investment, increasing income inequality and declining growth dynamics. The economic policy implication is a slow but decisive exit from ultra-expansionary monetary policies.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 42

Keywords: Hayek, Mises, Wicksell, monetary overinvestment theory, asymmetric monetary policy, financial crisis, Goodhart’s Law, marginal productivity of investment, secular stagnation

JEL Classification: E520, E580, F420, E630

 

Taller de Economía “Historia de la Teoría Monetaria” [con acceso a la bibliografía]

El Departamento de Economía de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas de la Universidad Nacional de Buenos Aires invita a nuestros lectores a participar de este tercer año del Taller de Economía “Historia de las Teoría Monetaria”, coordinado por los profesores Daniel Heyman y Sebastián Katz.

Lugar de realización: Aula 304 (3er piso, sector rotonda), Facultad de Ciencias Económicas UBA (Av. Córdoba 2122, CABA).

Fecha y horario: Jueves 24 de abril en el  en el horario de 17:00 a 19:00 hs.

Bibliografía

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Walter Bagehot (1873); Lombard Street: A Description of the Money Market.

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Ralph Hawtrey(1919): Currency andCredit,Caps.1– 3

 

Friedrich Hayek(1931): Prices and Production,LectureI.

 

John Maynard Keynes(1930):A Treatise on Money,  Caps. 12;223113– Ciclosecomicos

 

Dennis Robertson(1915):A Theory of Industrial Fluctuations.

 

Ralph Hawtrey (1926): The Trade Cycle.

 

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Friedrich Hayek(1931): Prices and Production: LecturesII- III.
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Michal Kalecki (1935): A Macrodynamic Theoryof the Business Cycle, Econometrica.

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Acceda aquí a la Bibliografía y cronograma.